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TA: Bitcoin Nosedives $10K, Here’s Why Recovery Could Face Hurdles

Posted on May 13, 2021

Bitcoin price declined over $10,000 against the US Dollar after Elion Musk’s tweet. BTC is now correcting losses, but the previous support near $52,000 could act as a hurdle.

Bitcoin started a major decline from well above $55,000 and it even traded close to $45,000
The price is now trading well below $55,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
There was a break below a key rising channel with support near $57,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair is correcting losses, but the bulls might struggle near $52,000 and $53,000.

Bitcoin Price Dives 20%
Bitcoin failed to clear the $58,500 resistance and reacted to the downside. BTC’s decline was got pace after Elion Musk’s tweet about bitcoin mining and not accepting it as payment.
It sparked a strong bearish move below the $52,000 and $50,000 support levels. There was a break below a key rising channel with support near $57,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even dived towards the $45,000 level on Kraken. It is now trading well below $55,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
A low is formed near $45,000 and the price is now recovering higher. It broke the $47,000 and $48,500 resistance levels. Besides, there was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $58,000 swing high to $45,000 swing low.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $51,500 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $58,000 swing high to $45,000 swing low. The main resistance is now forming near the $53,000 zone (the previous support). A close above $52,000 and $53,000 is needed to start a decent increase.
Fresh Drop in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to clear the $52,000 resistance or $53,000, it could start a fresh decline. An initial support on the downside is near the $48,500 level.
A downside break below the $48,500 support zone could restart the decline. The next major support is near the $47,400 level. Any more losses might call for a fresh test of the $45,000 support zone in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now recovering from the oversold zone.
Major Support Levels – $48,500, followed by $47,400.
Major Resistance Levels – $51,500, $52,000 and $53,000.

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